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000 FXUS64 KFWD 062337 AFDFWD AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 537 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009 .AVIATION... /00Z UPDATE/ VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL ACROSS NORTH TEXAS NEXT 24 HOURS. MID LEVEL TROF MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS NOW WITH SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDINESS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH. LATE AFTERNOON MIXING HAS LED TO WIND GUSTS AROUND 30KTS OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS BUT THESE WILL DIMINISH SHORTLY. WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW TO PREVAIL OVERNIGHT...WILL BACK TO AROUND 24010KT BY MORNING. 91/DUNN && .UPDATE... 3-4 MB PER 3 HR PRESSURE RISES MOVING INTO THE REGION AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH. THIS IS RESULTING IN SOME STRONGER NW WINDS THAN FORECAST AND HAVE UPDATED FORECAST ACCORDINGLY. TR.92 && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 325 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009/ LARGE OPEN TROUGH NOW MOVING SLOWLY THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH ASSOCIATED MID AND HIGH CLOUDS JUST MOVING INTO NORTH TEXAS. 4-5 HOURS OF SUNSHINE HAS HELPED TEMPERATURES REACH THE MID 50S TO MID 60S ACROSS THE REGION. THE NEXT THREE DAYS WILL BE EVEN WARMER WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND DRY NORTHWEST FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ADD A DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE MIX ON FRIDAY...HELPING READINGS REACH THE 70S AREAWIDE. THE NEXT COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE SATURDAY MORNING KNOCKING TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 40S AND 50S. THE MODELS ARE ADVERTISING SOME RAIN CHANCES OVER THE SOUTHEAST WITH THIS SYSTEM AND HAVE CONTINUED SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS OVER THIS AREA. HIGH PRESSURE AND ZONAL FLOW WILL BRIEFLY OCCUPY THE SKIES OVERHEAD BEFORE A LARGE SCALE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE EJECTS INTO THE PLAINS. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES ON MONDAY AND HAVE INCLUDED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AREAWIDE. EVEN SO...UNDERCUT MOS BY QUITE A BIT AS THE GFS IS BEING BULLISH WITH THE POPS. AN UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO CUT OFF FROM THE MEAN TROUGH AND DEVELOP OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA DURING THIS SAME TIME FRAME. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE THE NEXT WEATHER-MAKER FOR NORTH TEXAS WHEN IT FINALLY WORKS ITS WAY BACK INTO THE MEAN FLOW BY MIDWEEK. SH/13 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 37 66 42 72 48 / 0 0 0 0 5 WACO, TX 37 68 42 73 48 / 0 0 0 0 5 PARIS, TX 32 59 37 67 44 / 0 0 0 0 5 DENTON, TX 31 63 33 70 43 / 0 0 0 0 0 MCKINNEY, TX 32 62 34 68 44 / 0 0 0 0 5 DALLAS, TX 35 66 41 73 48 / 0 0 0 0 5 TERRELL, TX 36 64 37 70 46 / 0 0 0 0 5 CORSICANA, TX 35 65 38 71 48 / 0 0 0 0 5 TEMPLE, TX 36 68 38 74 47 / 0 0 0 0 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$